FilipStankovski
0xec06122c4cde51625747a1988fe01ef396864815
- Realised P&L
- $-94.06
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $63.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.835 | $49.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.915 | $13.79 | +$3.79 |
| Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.43 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.33at 0.716Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?
- +$9.02at 0.627Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$7.62at 0.667Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$7.56at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$7.29at 0.887Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:59 | Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.6633663307 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.981 | $47.67 |
| 09-21 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9259999998 | $45.00 |
| 09-21 12:00 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 23:31 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | SELL | 0.9866030682 | $55.95 |
| 09-18 07:46 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.7053197847 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 12:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 11:25 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | BUY | 0.95 | $40.00 |
| 09-09 11:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 12:45 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.6556291342 | $15.00 |
| 08-27 19:34 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $37.35 |
| 08-25 09:33 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $25.52 |
| 08-23 10:13 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? | BUY | 0.8556713072 | $34.00 |
| 08-23 10:11 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.00 |
| 08-10 13:19 | Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.9823832516 | $52.09 |