PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xebf3B7DEf5cE079fe76c25C8C7bbC6222B13Aa88-1775112071533

0xebf3b7def5ce079fe76c25c8c7bbc6222b13aa88

Realised P&L
$-36.80
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$10.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 17? · Yes0.3900.415$5.32+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 17? · Yes0.1500.255$5.10+$2.10
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 · Under0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 7? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$1.00
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 · Under0.7400.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$7.00
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 8? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 13? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14? · Yes0.4780.000$0.00−$9.72
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 7? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 22:10Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 17?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-16 22:06Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 17?BUY0.15$3.00
10-14 13:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?BUY0.549999956$5.00
10-14 13:35Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?BUY0.58$4.72
10-14 12:55Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-14 12:54Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?SELL0.4$4.30
10-14 09:33Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-14 09:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?BUY0.4653465282$5.00
10-14 09:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?SELL0.991$10.52
10-13 23:56Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?BUY0.4705882353$5.00
10-06 18:19Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?SELL0.0085650624$0.14
10-06 17:46Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?BUY0.0919999934$1.00
10-06 17:46Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?SELL0.0608282876$1.29
10-06 17:20Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?BUY0.2128078625$2.00
10-06 16:31Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?BUY0.3402869844$2.00