PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEBF2E4E120B98dE5A294b049055B7670035cEbA0-1779287935682

0xebf2e4e120b98de5a294b049055b7670035ceba0

Realised P&L
$-4.69
Volume
$684.79
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$0.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0600.025$0.42$0.57
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · No0.0340.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 20? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00$1.55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on May 20? · Yes0.5620.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 20? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSELL0.43$2.15
05-20 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.45$2.25
05-20 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.4899999967$6.00
05-20 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.92$5.00
05-20 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
05-20 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSELL0.42$1.23
05-20 17:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
05-20 17:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.08$1.00
05-20 17:07Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSELL0.87$4.35
05-20 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.43$2.15
05-20 17:03Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.8299999557$3.00
05-20 16:55Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSELL0.99$3.30
05-20 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.29999982$1.00
05-20 16:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.062197595$1.00
05-20 16:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.2899998666$1.00