0xEBF2E4E120B98dE5A294b049055B7670035cEbA0-1779287935682
0xebf2e4e120b98de5a294b049055b7670035ceba0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.69
- Volume
- $684.79
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $0.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.025 | $0.42 | −$0.57 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · No | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on May 20? · Yes | 0.562 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 20? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$2.93at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$2.73at 0.012Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$2.25at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$2.07at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 05-20 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 05-20 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999967 | $6.00 |
| 05-20 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $1.23 |
| 05-20 17:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 17:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 05-20 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 05-20 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999557 | $3.00 |
| 05-20 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.30 |
| 05-20 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.062197595 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |