yaokan
0xebf0a333fcc4648aacc7826f7183fd4360dbe275
- Realised P&L
- $32.2k
- Volume
- $4.03M
- Markets traded
- 401
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded401
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $3.4k | +$1.79 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.991 | 0.991 | $1.9k | +$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.994 | 0.996 | $1.0k | +$1.58 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $29.89 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.995 | 0.998 | $4.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $4.98 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18? · No | 0.994 | 0.996 | $4.18 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.955Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.7kat 0.978Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$1.4kat 0.980Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?
- +$1.2kat 0.673Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?
- +$1.1kat 0.961Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 17:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-16 17:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 10-16 17:42 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-16 17:42 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-16 17:37 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.7k |
| 10-16 17:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-16 17:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.7k |
| 10-16 17:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-16 17:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.995 | $59.70 |
| 10-16 17:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.996 | $11.95 |
| 10-16 17:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.996 | $298.80 |
| 10-16 17:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 17:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.993 | $5.06 |
| 10-16 17:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 10-16 17:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.98 |