PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ffffafffff

0xebed57b2f86a40bb36b9fee08b334b551c8b81d8

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$117.8k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$7.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7260.635$3.1k−$439.21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6840.705$1.2k+$37.31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7460.745$1.1k−$1.80
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.715$397.38−$2.62
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7900.785$392.50−$2.50
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.715$306.43+$6.43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6400.705$220.31+$20.31
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6500.705$216.92+$16.92
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.3790.470$198.44+$38.44
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? · Yes0.6800.665$132.99−$3.00
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over0.6550.000$0.00−$10.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5980.000$0.00−$500.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$150.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$100.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$4.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:26Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.79$395.00
11-01 19:25Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.68$135.99
11-01 19:22Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$675.00
11-01 19:21Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$710.00
10-27 21:12Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.38$136.44
10-27 20:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7399999998$400.00
10-27 20:02Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.1220376667$41.28
10-27 11:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7299999995$300.00
10-27 11:38Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.8355437644$300.00
10-27 09:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7299999997$400.00
10-27 09:44Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7299999997$400.00
10-27 09:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7299999997$400.00
10-26 21:02Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7289999987$200.00
10-26 14:42Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.6257971192$296.30
10-26 11:38Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.7711291278$390.44