ffffafffff
0xebed57b2f86a40bb36b9fee08b334b551c8b81d8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $117.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$901.40at 0.803Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$368.99at 0.410Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$324.91at 0.441Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$284.52at 0.918Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$271.17at 0.734Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:26 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $395.00 |
| 11-01 19:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.68 | $135.99 |
| 11-01 19:22 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $675.00 |
| 11-01 19:21 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $710.00 |
| 10-27 21:12 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.38 | $136.44 |
| 10-27 20:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $400.00 |
| 10-27 20:02 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.1220376667 | $41.28 |
| 10-27 11:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $300.00 |
| 10-27 11:38 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8355437644 | $300.00 |
| 10-27 09:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $400.00 |
| 10-27 09:44 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $400.00 |
| 10-27 09:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $400.00 |
| 10-26 21:02 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7289999987 | $200.00 |
| 10-26 14:42 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.6257971192 | $296.30 |
| 10-26 11:38 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.7711291278 | $390.44 |