PolyBot

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Traders

Lucas221

0xebed2bb89ba2826df60e0b088cdd048924b07d9c

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$88.6k
Markets traded
569
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded569
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 06:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?SELL0.989$0.31
09-28 02:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.3145160406$11.47
09-28 02:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?BUY0.03$2.79
09-27 18:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.4059353333$60.89
09-27 18:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?BUY0.0798886605$9.33
09-27 15:17Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 27?SELL0.98$65.56
09-27 14:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 27?BUY0.7971428571$22.32
09-27 14:45Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 27?BUY0.77$10.70
09-27 14:44Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 27?BUY0.81$20.25
09-27 14:30Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?BUY0.93$84.46
09-27 14:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.35$35.00
09-27 01:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27?SELL0.0052830189$0.56
09-27 01:46Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?SELL0.3217583963$18.30
09-27 01:46Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.3828246014$26.89
09-26 19:55Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27?BUY0.04$4.24