Szokolai
0xebe996387239a925ad9e4c672a66a56d3afac6f8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $92.0k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.031 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$690.63at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$605.49at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$476.14at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$475.61at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$383.46at 0.800Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 16:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999964 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 15:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 10-06 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 10-06 15:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7661691394 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.59 |