kokokokokokok
0xebe7cccedbb2c975950c35971ba7c5b07b134f2e
- Realised P&L
- $284.07
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $25.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.001 | $25.00 | −$24.95 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Federico Zeballos vs Luis Felipe Miguel · Federico Zeballos | 0.120 | 0.018 | $0.09 | −$0.51 |
| Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State: 1Q O/U 13.5 · Under | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.28at 0.338Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner
- +$308.82at 0.282Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
- +$245.22at 0.245Packers vs. Lions: O/U 40.5
- +$176.69at 0.070Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$165.40at 0.829Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:39 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 13:44 | Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3270752202 | $180.00 |
| 10-31 23:59 | Costa do Sauipe: Federico Zeballos vs Luis Felipe Miguel | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 10-31 23:17 | Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State: 1Q O/U 13.5 | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $71.34 |
| 10-31 23:06 | Spread: Oregon (-10.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-31 22:48 | Spread: Oregon (-10.5) | BUY | 0.8242438464 | $800.00 |
| 10-30 06:30 | Set 2 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart | BUY | 0.2331129477 | $18.62 |
| 10-30 06:28 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3910107355 | $364.22 |
| 10-29 09:55 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3917783229 | $364.94 |
| 10-29 09:45 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs maybe - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5572696246 | $20.41 |
| 10-29 08:57 | Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 19:04 | Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.0579016271 | $19.39 |
| 10-26 14:53 | Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-26 14:53 | Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-25 23:11 | Packers vs. Lions: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.24 | $78.00 |