0xEbE0C71E7E72c59D89b3f61A2af99ccfa0d4e9E5-1733252559685
0xebe0c71e7e72c59d89b3f61a2af99ccfa0d4e9e5
- Realised P&L
- $-44.63
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $16.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $16.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.988Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$0.16at 0.962Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$0.13at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 17?
- +$0.09at 0.974Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$0.07at 0.997Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |
| 10-17 16:59 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 10-15 23:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $47.50 |
| 10-29 05:26 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.30 |
| 09-16 03:17 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.70 |
| 08-11 03:35 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.40 |
| 06-23 04:24 | Will Juan Ayuso win the Tour de France 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.30 |
| 04-22 04:21 | Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.30 |
| 02-24 21:08 | Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars? | BUY | 0.988 | $20.30 |
| 02-15 00:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.9739999164 | $3.40 |
| 02-15 00:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.9619997869 | $4.00 |
| 02-13 15:25 | Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 01-05 15:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by January 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.90 |
| 12-12 14:03 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.2599999961 | $43.00 |
| 12-06 17:19 | Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.11 |