kumluil
0xebd928e2370f0cc819881293f250494566c65cdc
- Realised P&L
- $14.68
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $44.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $170 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $44.93 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.28at 0.628Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$15.65at 0.550Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?
- +$7.18at 0.720Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.62at 0.415Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$2.65at 0.814Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 03:41 | Will Solana reach $170 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.00 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999827 | $45.00 |
| 09-11 05:54 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.00 |
| 08-15 09:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | BUY | 0.96 | $29.00 |
| 07-07 09:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.00 |
| 06-29 08:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.00 |
| 06-07 07:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.00 |
| 05-05 15:14 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $29.00 |
| 04-14 03:57 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.37 |
| 03-20 12:18 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.37 |
| 03-20 12:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.37 |
| 02-23 14:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999794 | $22.42 |
| 01-10 02:59 | Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.60 |
| 01-04 08:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 29-January 4? | BUY | 0.9979999973 | $22.69 |
| 01-04 08:42 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |