PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Chaichaichai

0xebd43848b4ee2767609747969c2e26dd6194bced

Realised P&L
$-56.19
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 31? · Yes0.6970.000$0.00−$10.15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 8? · Yes0.9700.000$0.00−$34.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$7.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 18:51Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?SELL0.998$69.12
10-02 16:21Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.95$52.25
10-01 23:57Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1?BUY0.93$24.70
10-01 23:54Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 1?SELL0.999$15.11
10-01 15:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 1?BUY0.97$63.09
10-01 15:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?SELL0.997$63.04
09-30 22:19Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 30?SELL0.998$60.27
09-30 16:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 30?BUY0.92$55.56
09-30 13:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 30?BUY0.949$53.01
09-30 13:10Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?SELL0.999$53.05
09-29 21:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 29?BUY0.99$40.74
09-29 21:05Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 29?BUY0.988$9.88
09-28 21:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28?SELL0.998$49.19
09-28 17:23Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.999$45.08
09-28 02:57Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.95$42.87