Chaichaichai
0xebd43848b4ee2767609747969c2e26dd6194bced
- Realised P&L
- $-56.19
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 31? · Yes | 0.697 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 8? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.61at 0.861Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26?
- +$4.79at 0.931Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1?
- +$4.48at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 30?
- +$4.33at 0.910Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28?
- +$3.43at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $69.12 |
| 10-02 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $52.25 |
| 10-01 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.70 |
| 10-01 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.11 |
| 10-01 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $63.09 |
| 10-01 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.997 | $63.04 |
| 09-30 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $60.27 |
| 09-30 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $55.56 |
| 09-30 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.949 | $53.01 |
| 09-30 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.05 |
| 09-29 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $40.74 |
| 09-29 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 09-28 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.19 |
| 09-28 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.08 |
| 09-28 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $42.87 |