okongwoo2
0xebd2d9b162fe497fa2e87f6c09bfa924f55087f8
- Realised P&L
- $629.30
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $528.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.784 | 0.925 | $267.19 | +$40.65 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $1,000 | 0.560 | 0.325 | $232.01 | −$167.66 |
| Will LSU make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.460 | $26.83 | +$7.58 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · No | 0.091 | 0.130 | $2.86 | +$0.85 |
| Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B · Legacy | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| Will Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.96 |
| Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.5 · Yes | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.87at 0.510Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- +$174.06at 0.527Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$144.62at 0.615GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$129.35at 0.257Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$119.31at 0.303Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:17 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 15:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $88.00 |
| 09-15 02:01 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $93.60 |
| 09-15 02:00 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 09-15 01:39 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $18.20 |
| 09-15 01:15 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $328.90 |
| 09-15 01:15 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.6534147651 | $97.36 |
| 09-15 00:59 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $131.95 |
| 09-15 00:58 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 09-15 00:58 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $18.20 |
| 09-15 00:56 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.65 | $37.70 |
| 09-14 23:27 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.5 | $124.55 |
| 09-14 23:25 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.5 | $583.64 |
| 09-14 23:20 | Will LSU make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals? | SELL | 0.48 | $12.00 |
| 09-14 13:17 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.092 | $36.89 |