PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEbcd052A92fDB40644Ebd844e58722955E1dd2EF-1768369124552

0xebcd052a92fdb40644ebd844e58722955e1dd2ef

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$262.9k
Markets traded
3,910
Open portfolio
$108.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,910
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.905$99.46−$0.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.7400.855$9.24+$1.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.8930.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16? · Yes0.7150.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Down0.4630.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.8220.000$0.00−$16.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.8260.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down0.8590.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up0.6360.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.7050.000$0.00−$19.95
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · No0.9380.000$0.00−$3.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.7399999871$8.00
10-11 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.9599998771$5.00
10-11 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.86$5.00
10-11 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSELL0.19$5.43
10-11 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-11 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.8799999965$20.00
10-11 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
10-11 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.99$20.00
10-11 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.8399999933$20.00
10-11 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSELL0.4181713578$23.62
10-11 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.7199999942$20.00
10-11 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.6965208747$20.00
10-11 17:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11?SELL0.91$18.19
10-11 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-11 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.9699999981$10.00