polIRL

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

✓ ClearEdge per dollar3.6%

Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.

✓ ClearMarkets traded141

Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.

✓ ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position

Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.

✓ ClearSettled sample50 positions

Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.

? Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%

Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

▲ CautionOpen concentration86.5% in top position

Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.