PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xebB10bd23913Cac1102307b291bd1654FfB1616d-1772514142615

0xebb10bd23913cac1102307b291bd1654ffb1616d

Realised P&L
$-2.01
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$35.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.605$12.10+$2.10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8500.905$10.65+$0.65
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.3290.652$6.52+$3.23
Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0910.051$2.84$2.16
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.2400.042$1.73$8.27
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.018$1.03+$0.03
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.013$0.54$0.46
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$5.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$5.00
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands0.5000.000$0.00$10.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.4080.000$0.00$1.38
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office · The Devil Wears Prada 20.3170.000$0.00$13.76
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$5.00
Kash Patel out by July 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 17:21Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.329$3.29
09-08 17:18Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?SELL0.0046320475$0.31
07-18 16:17Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.99$24.75
07-01 17:33Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.359999977$5.00
07-01 03:00Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.05$1.00
06-30 03:38Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$10.50
06-30 01:52Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
06-29 17:32Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.289999964$5.00
06-28 05:08Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
06-26 02:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-26 02:29Will "Supergirl" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.001$0.04
06-26 02:28Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.001$0.00
06-23 04:27Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
06-23 04:26Will "Supergirl" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.0452034863$2.00
06-23 04:26Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.239999856$1.00