Lukasburner
0xeba4f0b5eea60bfe6df14e2297e58d8c152a69fb
- Realised P&L
- $27.3k
- Volume
- $548.6k
- Markets traded
- 349
- Open portfolio
- $29.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded349
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.144Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$2.4kat 0.156Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- +$2.4kat 0.528Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
- +$2.0kat 0.060Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?
- +$1.9kat 0.350Fight to Go the Distance?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 21:25 | Will an American player win the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 09-10 00:27 | Will the announcers say "Contract" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game? | BUY | 0.9853499755 | $40.26 |
| 09-03 15:31 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $31.00 |
| 09-02 06:11 | Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? | BUY | 0.65 | $23.52 |
| 09-01 06:02 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.54 |
| 08-31 16:06 | Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.5029850746 | $134.80 |
| 08-31 02:44 | Wejlon Mindoro vs. Carlos Ocampo | BUY | 0.9877117997 | $64.70 |
| 08-31 02:39 | Najee Lopez vs. Juan Carlos Carrillo | BUY | 0.9880769231 | $77.07 |
| 08-29 21:22 | Sam Noakes vs. Denys Berinchyk | BUY | 0.9922670025 | $19.70 |
| 08-29 20:49 | Caroline Dubois vs. Amelia Moore | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 08-29 20:13 | Nelson Hysa vs. Thomas Narmo | BUY | 0.99 | $92.06 |
| 08-29 19:56 | Reina Tellez vs. Jessica Barry | BUY | 0.9533903689 | $528.22 |
| 08-29 19:48 | Constantin Ursu vs. Ben Vaughan | BUY | 0.9870959027 | $65.77 |
| 08-29 19:09 | Terri Harper vs. Miranda Reyes | BUY | 0.9867533937 | $87.23 |
| 08-29 18:56 | Tysie Gallagher vs. Brandi Robinson | BUY | 0.9853648069 | $55.10 |