PolyBot

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Traders

Lukasburner

0xeba4f0b5eea60bfe6df14e2297e58d8c152a69fb

Realised P&L
$27.3k
Volume
$548.6k
Markets traded
349
Open portfolio
$29.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded349
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3450.925$5.6k+$3.5k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9100.925$5.3k+$86.63
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · No0.4440.910$4.0k+$2.1k
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes0.0200.880$3.2k+$3.2k
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes0.3400.490$2.5k+$752.43
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? · Yes0.5500.635$1.7k+$225.17
Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · No0.4930.715$1.7k+$515.17
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1800.205$1.0k+$125.00
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship? · No0.3900.335$921.25$151.25
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · No0.6620.639$850.53$29.92
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.3200.315$814.20$12.07
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? · Yes0.3500.390$278.39+$28.55
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.5030.855$229.14+$94.34
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · Yes0.3930.305$207.88$60.01
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 99.50.4140.310$136.78$46.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 21:25Will an American player win the 2026 US Open?BUY0.6$60.00
09-10 00:27Will the announcers say "Contract" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?BUY0.9853499755$40.26
09-03 15:31Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.32$31.00
09-02 06:11Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?BUY0.65$23.52
09-01 06:02Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.32$32.54
08-31 16:06Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?BUY0.5029850746$134.80
08-31 02:44Wejlon Mindoro vs. Carlos OcampoBUY0.9877117997$64.70
08-31 02:39Najee Lopez vs. Juan Carlos CarrilloBUY0.9880769231$77.07
08-29 21:22Sam Noakes vs. Denys BerinchykBUY0.9922670025$19.70
08-29 20:49Caroline Dubois vs. Amelia MooreBUY0.999$32.97
08-29 20:13Nelson Hysa vs. Thomas NarmoBUY0.99$92.06
08-29 19:56Reina Tellez vs. Jessica BarryBUY0.9533903689$528.22
08-29 19:48Constantin Ursu vs. Ben VaughanBUY0.9870959027$65.77
08-29 19:09Terri Harper vs. Miranda ReyesBUY0.9867533937$87.23
08-29 18:56Tysie Gallagher vs. Brandi RobinsonBUY0.9853648069$55.10