0xeb9da235a4a708e80c7deae2a6257289fb5685c4
0xeb9da235a4a708e80c7deae2a6257289fb5685c4
- Realised P&L
- $-23.62
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $9.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.405 | $9.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.90at 0.270Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$5.60at 0.640Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$3.50at 0.740Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$2.18at 0.820Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$-0.88at 0.043Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 08:35 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 17:03 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $51.95 |
| 07-11 09:45 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 09:50 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3196967094 | $87.42 |
| 04-18 17:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 04-18 17:07 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $9.95 |
| 04-18 16:45 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.95 |
| 04-18 16:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.7399999941 | $9.95 |
| 04-16 02:48 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $4.12 |
| 04-15 18:43 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0425154014 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 18:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999864 | $9.95 |
| 04-12 03:58 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 17:43 | Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 17:26 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 17:25 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |