brandy font
0xeb974595a0fc5e76917f87d755e3f7b6594cd1b0
- Realised P&L
- $-40.25
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $45.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $45.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11? · No | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.33at 0.030Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-10.00at 0.580Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$-14.67at 0.200China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-11 13:27 | Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-11 11:28 | Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11? | BUY | 0.0125 | $1.25 |
| 12-08 19:47 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 12-08 19:07 | Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 11:30 | China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.67 |
| 07-15 16:34 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.014 | $4.67 |
| 07-15 16:33 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SELL | 0.29 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 14:32 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 0.58 | $20.00 |
| 03-27 10:51 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |