DragonSlayer3000
0xeb968f5a4e7a14b30aafe3075de0339d938f4c54
- Realised P&L
- $-20.75
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $42.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.810 | $40.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.470 | $2.35 | −$0.35 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.52 |
| Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.58 |
| Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.56 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
| Will Demis Hassabis be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.68at 0.770Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
- +$17.10at 0.430Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$12.60at 0.550Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
- +$10.40at 0.744Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
- +$9.22at 0.823Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:53 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.88 |
| 05-01 14:43 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 02-09 19:16 | Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 02-04 05:19 | Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.82 |
| 02-04 05:19 | Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.90 |
| 02-03 16:48 | Will Beth McCarthy-Miller - SNL50: The Homecoming Court win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.58 |
| 02-02 10:53 | Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 02-02 10:53 | Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.04 |
| 02-02 10:53 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34 | $16.32 |
| 01-22 09:24 | Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.963 | $9.63 |
| 01-21 12:49 | Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.962 | $15.39 |
| 01-15 12:54 | Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 01-15 12:12 | Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.192 | $0.58 |
| 01-15 12:10 | Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.198 | $0.79 |
| 01-14 18:04 | Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.13 |