Alaskandreamer
0xeb8ea2cfa9b8e1e8679242630fc35f94fce8d5c6
- Realised P&L
- $-61.43
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $0.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.58at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 3?
- +$6.55at 0.730Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 3?
- +$6.14at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 4?
- +$5.07at 0.791Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 3?
- +$4.43at 0.755Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 04:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.58 |
| 10-03 06:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-01 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 10-01 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 10-01 06:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 09-29 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.28 |
| 09-29 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.22 |
| 09-12 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 13? | BUY | 0.5499998734 | $1.52 |
| 09-12 04:55 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 13? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.22 |
| 08-03 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.59 | $0.81 |
| 08-02 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.52 |
| 08-02 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.88 |
| 08-02 03:48 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.51 |
| 08-02 03:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.7824328147 | $5.53 |
| 08-02 03:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.45 |