xixihaha123
0xeb85b75283dcd7f2eef04b1d8caee7fbd04e6270
- Realised P&L
- $-125.96
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 685
- Open portfolio
- $5.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded685
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No | 0.998 | 0.992 | $1.06 | −$0.01 |
| Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No | 0.999 | 0.991 | $1.06 | −$0.01 |
| Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No | 0.999 | 0.989 | $1.06 | −$0.01 |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · No | 0.979 | 0.949 | $1.04 | −$0.03 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? · No | 0.998 | 0.978 | $1.02 | −$0.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET · Down | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down | 0.984 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.63 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET · Down | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET · Down | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7PM ET · Up | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.71at 0.668XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET
- +$4.61at 0.960Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
- +$3.70at 0.960Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
- +$3.69at 0.960Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
- +$1.91at 0.979Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 02:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999732 | $1.04 |
| 10-19 03:59 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.04 |
| 10-18 04:00 | Will Henry Yao win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 03:57 | Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 03:56 | Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.08 |
| 10-16 06:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.995 | $1.08 |
| 10-16 04:58 | BNB Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-15 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-14 23:56 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.08 |
| 10-14 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.9879999963 | $1.08 |
| 10-14 01:00 | Dota 2: Chandogs vs Skyreavers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9989991509 | $1.08 |
| 10-13 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-13 19:58 | Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-12 06:58 | XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-12 05:57 | XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |