scourge3366
0xeb827aafd020655ad03d7b496256bc1b58bcfa1d
- Realised P&L
- $-429.22
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 561
- Open portfolio
- $2.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded561
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.21at 0.198Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?
- +$97.62at 0.232Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
- +$53.12at 0.158Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?
- +$41.62at 0.392Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?
- +$37.22at 0.338Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.79 |
| 09-19 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.08 |
| 09-19 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 09-19 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2351550388 | $2.43 |
| 09-19 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.35 |
| 09-18 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.21 |
| 09-18 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.07 |
| 09-18 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.88 |
| 09-17 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.21 |
| 09-17 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1955752212 | $2.21 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0746236559 | $2.36 |
| 09-15 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2020127796 | $2.53 |
| 09-15 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.34 |
| 09-15 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.43 |
| 09-14 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.87 |