ashley42
0xeb7b5ec64c62cf504ea331d3d994c8dbabff4cfd
- Realised P&L
- $-3.57
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $55.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.770 | 0.815 | $21.40 | +$1.18 |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · No | 0.765 | 0.899 | $17.99 | +$2.69 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.653 | $15.92 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.33at 0.260Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
- +$1.07at 0.560Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
- +$0.63at 0.180Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
- +$0.36at 0.985Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.30at 0.985Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999959 | $16.08 |
| 09-04 04:30 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5385751938 | $18.90 |
| 01-31 13:54 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.985 | $23.51 |
| 01-30 12:48 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.41 |
| 01-30 12:00 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.99 |
| 01-30 11:56 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.59 |
| 12-30 01:29 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.04 |
| 12-30 00:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999532 | $5.07 |
| 12-29 23:48 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999898 | $19.91 |
| 12-29 19:05 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999994 | $47.62 |
| 10-31 00:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.94 |
| 10-30 23:37 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.30 |
| 10-30 20:35 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.03 |
| 09-29 10:01 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999469 | $16.96 |
| 09-29 00:57 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.86 |