staflos
0xeb7acdfb1d4b0eaefa7a336a6b4ee6b47242c291
- Realised P&L
- $579.93
- Volume
- $83.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $73.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.085 | $73.40 | −$146.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.421Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
- +$897.32at 0.831Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
- +$511.65at 0.770Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$505.34at 0.775Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$360.67at 0.356Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 18:09 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.1040261659 | $192.90 |
| 09-06 13:16 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.2 | $43.90 |
| 08-03 10:59 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.31 | $24.80 |
| 08-03 10:58 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.3076946131 | $40.04 |
| 08-03 10:58 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 07-31 11:57 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.3781734084 | $215.03 |
| 07-25 20:26 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $21.00 |
| 07-25 20:22 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $0.16 |
| 07-25 20:21 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $90.72 |
| 07-25 20:20 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.39 | $34.71 |
| 07-25 20:18 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.40 |
| 07-25 05:44 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.41 | $146.96 |
| 07-25 05:41 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $72.00 |
| 07-25 05:40 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $21.50 |
| 07-25 05:40 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $9.94 |