0xeb78126c182816f2b215391902fa34dbf9f6f1a9
- Realised P&L
- $-3.28
- Volume
- $34.57
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $6.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.999 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.770 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.915 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.750 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.080 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.27at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.42at 0.708Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?
- +$0.38at 0.728Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.782LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:03 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:46 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:32 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:16 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 06:15 | Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:04 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:40 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |