0xeb777706f4a410fc1bebb3adb1a02b049b4d8382
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $277.6k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $403.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.021 | $403.91 | −$40.29 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$966.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.098Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$1.5kat 0.402Cowboys vs. Giants
- +$933.93at 0.123Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$550.01at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$217.19at 0.087Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:55 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0223220242 | $97.16 |
| 09-14 12:54 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.021908379 | $97.14 |
| 09-14 00:09 | Cowboys vs. Giants | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $970.40 |
| 09-10 02:55 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | SELL | 0.31 | $771.34 |
| 09-10 02:54 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0370080094 | $454.99 |
| 09-09 18:45 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $970.40 |
| 09-09 18:43 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0395328004 | $486.03 |
| 09-09 12:29 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.3510024502 | $3.6k |
| 09-07 04:35 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0954508315 | $973.90 |
| 09-04 16:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $626.85 |
| 09-04 16:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.094365544 | $1.0k |
| 07-20 14:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $269.90 |
| 07-20 14:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $37.77 |
| 07-20 14:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $146.25 |
| 07-20 14:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $291.02 |