Chillx300
0xeb768941e7b8fa203ead4bbab8ef577ca1bde76d
- Realised P&L
- $6.46
- Volume
- $48.83
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $3.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.515 | $2.48 | −$0.02 |
| Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.435 | $1.48 | −$0.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.14at 0.512Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$1.93at 0.642Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?
- +$1.56at 0.552Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$1.55at 0.622Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?
- +$-0.17at 0.472Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:38 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 06:35 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.62 |
| 09-27 21:02 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4599998972 | $1.70 |
| 09-27 20:57 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999251 | $2.50 |
| 09-27 20:29 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.24 |
| 09-27 12:14 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4299999695 | $2.82 |
| 09-27 12:14 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6099999488 | $2.50 |
| 09-26 12:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.27 |
| 09-25 20:13 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6299999778 | $3.40 |
| 09-24 10:16 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5399999196 | $1.88 |
| 09-24 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |