Butragueno
0xeb717c77c33f699fc1a941d7fad8c15fd56341f9
- Realised P&L
- $-58.80
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $3.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.34at 0.560XRP all time high by December 31?
- +$37.62at 0.210EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$12.00at 0.420MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$10.20at 0.390Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$8.36at 0.635Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 12:05 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.60691085 | $17.56 |
| 02-16 09:19 | Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 09:19 | Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.016801225 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 09:18 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 09:17 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 14:45 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.78 | $20.40 |
| 02-10 20:08 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0086355786 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 20:08 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 20:08 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0159452901 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 20:08 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 20:08 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0220840876 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 20:07 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 20:06 | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.77 | $8.75 |
| 02-10 20:05 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 20:05 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0529999513 | $1.00 |