0xeb68e6010127cfaca28a3519c32a44cc99520044
- Realised P&L
- $36.05
- Volume
- $90.20
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $3.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar40.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia vs. Arkansas · Arkansas | 0.345 | 0.045 | $3.27 | −$21.79 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees · Atlanta Braves | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.90 |
| US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech · Jaume Munar | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.20 |
| O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.17 |
| UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) · Dan Hooker | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.03 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
| Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth · James Duckworth | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.87at 0.500Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5
- +$13.72at 0.400National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$12.18at 0.493Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworth
- +$11.90at 0.500Spread: Auburn (-29.5)
- +$9.26at 0.500Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:09 | Georgia vs. Arkansas | BUY | 0.05 | $1.25 |
| 08-31 22:57 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.23 | $1.92 |
| 08-19 13:52 | Set 1 Winner: Kopp vs Hassan | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 08-14 18:56 | Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworth | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |