Nostatsone
0xeb60799f54316cc7de2344436fc87ee1670df6bb
- Realised P&L
- $13.18
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $20.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.155 | $20.58 | −$33.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down | 0.538 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Down | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.03at 0.071Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$25.34at 0.090Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$5.71at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$4.29at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$4.02at 0.629Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 16:29 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.98 |
| 07-07 16:58 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.15 |
| 07-07 16:46 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.104 | $6.56 |
| 07-07 09:25 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0899999857 | $5.68 |
| 05-18 11:33 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.4083683328 | $54.21 |
| 03-17 10:50 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 10:50 | Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0985747126 | $1.72 |
| 03-16 09:04 | Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |
| 03-16 09:04 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.75 |
| 03-16 06:08 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.0081226558 | $5.03 |
| 03-15 21:46 | Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7149526078 | $30.02 |
| 03-15 21:45 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 03-15 20:25 | Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.47 | $31.33 |
| 03-13 09:29 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 09:28 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |