PolyBot

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Traders

Nostatsone

0xeb60799f54316cc7de2344436fc87ee1670df6bb

Realised P&L
$13.18
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$20.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes0.4080.155$20.58−$33.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.4980.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.4160.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.5380.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.5580.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Down0.5780.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down0.1910.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 16:29Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.035$0.98
07-07 16:58Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.25$6.15
07-07 16:46Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.104$6.56
07-07 09:25Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0899999857$5.68
05-18 11:33Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.4083683328$54.21
03-17 10:50Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
03-17 10:50Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?SELL0.0985747126$1.72
03-16 09:04Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?BUY0.2299999603$4.00
03-16 09:04Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.06$3.75
03-16 06:08Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.0081226558$5.03
03-15 21:46Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?SELL0.7149526078$30.02
03-15 21:45Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.001$0.50
03-15 20:25Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?SELL0.47$31.33
03-13 09:29Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.002$1.00
03-13 09:28Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.32$20.00