PolyBot

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Traders

ni4on

0xeb5e308c36502285524da16c320f717476ffaf8d

Realised P&L
$-162.13
Volume
$24.3k
Markets traded
434
Open portfolio
$38.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded434
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.2700.215$21.50−$5.50
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes0.3200.325$16.90+$0.26
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.57
Will Trump say "Insane asylum" during Iowa speech? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$8.80
Will Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$5.85
Will Trump say "Trump" or "Florida" 4+ times during dedication ceremony on Friday? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Trump say "Honored" or "Honor" 3+ times during dedication ceremony on Friday? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump say "Discombobulating" or "Discombobulated" this week? (February 15) · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$2.90
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "New Year" this week? (January 11) · No0.6200.000$0.00−$12.40
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (December 29 - January 4) · No0.7400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Jensen Huang say "Happy New Year" during NVIDIA keynote? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 19:44Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.27$27.00
10-18 19:30Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.32$16.64
10-08 18:30Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?SELL0.06$0.60
10-08 17:49Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his Science Summit remarks?BUY0.6$1.50
10-08 17:31Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?BUY0.25$2.50
10-07 19:43Will Trump say "Rigged Election" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?BUY0.27$1.62
10-07 18:16Will Trump say "Shut Up" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?BUY0.24$1.20
10-07 18:11Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?BUY0.44$3.96
02-13 19:32Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?BUY0.8099999741$5.00
02-13 19:30Will Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?BUY0.34$3.40
02-13 19:30Will Bernie Sanders say "Epstein" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?BUY0.26$5.20
02-13 19:13Will Trump say "World War II" at Fort Bragg on Friday?SELL0.999$13.63
02-13 19:10Will Trump say "Discombobulating" or "Discombobulated" this week? (February 15)BUY0.2299999692$5.00
02-13 19:06Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (February 15)SELL0.25$5.00
02-13 07:35Will Trump say "World War II" at Fort Bragg on Friday?BUY0.6963350636$9.50