PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ripx

0xeb5b0f58bf006820c8e5ce77793b11e5dbf484e8

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$81.3k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$518.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.041$420.04+$57.05
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1050.131$68.31+$13.31
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.049$22.38$37.62
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$7.96$0.72
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$25.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$9.33
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$14.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$4.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$9.85
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$29.60
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$9.90
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.3110.000$0.00$31.76
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.39
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$9.69
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$4.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:44Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999999$8.68
09-16 05:51Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?BUY0.0699999999$9.44
09-16 05:51Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 16?BUY0.0214210138$9.00
09-16 05:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999997$21.66
08-08 17:05Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1050661703$55.00
07-19 18:06Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124999959$50.00
07-07 19:52Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.15$9.90
07-07 19:51Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2599999712$5.23
07-07 19:50Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999933$25.00
07-06 18:38Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3899999503$4.00
07-06 18:38Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.24$4.77
06-24 19:40Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.0899999916$9.39
06-20 23:23Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?BUY0.0453444139$9.33
06-20 23:22Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?BUY0.02$9.69
06-20 23:22Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.2099999872$9.85