OrlandoFerreira1971
0xeb54ee1eb54cd3f9f36dc69fcc1df453e8df4f8e
- Realised P&L
- $-202.02
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $38.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.098 | $19.50 | +$11.40 |
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.395 | $7.90 | +$4.60 |
| Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.725 | $7.25 | +$3.75 |
| Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.415 | $4.15 | +$2.15 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.625 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.66 |
| Targu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passaro · Francesco Passaro | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bengals · Buccaneers | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.30 |
| Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders · Seahawks | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.09at 0.550Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$44.50at 0.175Ohio State vs. Texas
- +$39.28at 0.607Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$12.00at 0.170Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$7.56at 0.622Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 02:17 | Miami (FL) vs. Clemson | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:55 | Titans vs. Giants | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-27 18:03 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-13 18:38 | Buccaneers vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 00:37 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 07-29 22:58 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 22:31 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 07-03 20:38 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-03 10:55 | Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-02 22:39 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2775 | $1.39 |
| 07-01 23:40 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 07-01 17:32 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 07-01 17:04 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 06-29 19:53 | Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 16:51 | Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |