0xeb53fc823974dfc57d9e996d0e3c6caa50fff749
- Realised P&L
- $-2.14
- Volume
- $62.34
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $9.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September? · No | 0.720 | 0.925 | $2.03 | +$0.45 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.983 | $1.36 | +$0.31 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in September? · No | 0.880 | 0.976 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · No | 0.920 | 0.991 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 21? · No | 0.976 | 0.996 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.965 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · No | 0.890 | 0.895 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? · No | 0.870 | 0.465 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.255 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.490Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$0.43at 0.825Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?
- +$0.29at 0.874Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?
- +$0.26at 0.794Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.15at 0.792Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9759999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:55 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 16:21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 16:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.8609997671 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:44 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.57 |
| 09-15 14:36 | Will Solana dip to $80 in September? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 14:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 15? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.12 |
| 09-15 13:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.94 |