BluntTruthGentleman
0xeb51ffe4eb846f166f4bb13edfa0aacdcfe6d3bc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.065 | $1.4k | −$1.9k |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.120 | $81.65 | −$51.74 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.043 | $25.65 | −$45.03 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$539.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$587.41at 0.118Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$44.62at 0.510UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$-9.65at 0.873New pandemic in 2026?
- +$-12.64at 0.069Nipah virus in US by March 31?
- +$-26.52at 0.256Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 16:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.118 | $78.59 |
| 06-27 16:20 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.081 | $269.97 |
| 06-27 16:14 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.081 | $188.97 |
| 06-27 16:13 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.081 | $54.03 |
| 06-27 16:11 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.081 | $26.97 |
| 06-27 16:07 | New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $27.21 |
| 02-12 02:53 | Nipah virus in US by March 31? | BUY | 0.0690480013 | $12.64 |
| 02-12 02:48 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.58 |
| 02-12 02:48 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $38.32 |
| 02-12 02:48 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1568367347 | $3.07 |
| 02-12 02:47 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.81 |
| 02-12 02:47 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $454.72 |
| 02-12 02:47 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 02-12 02:47 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1447770701 | $18.18 |
| 01-25 05:14 | New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.90 |