TheShortLong
0xeb4efd30fe320d938e511a1298c751fe10c7c3c3
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $494.3k
- Markets traded
- 312
- Open portfolio
- $483.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded312
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.622 | 0.735 | $118.19 | +$18.19 |
| Canucks vs. Flames · Flames | 0.571 | 0.665 | $114.91 | +$16.16 |
| Oilers vs. Jets · Jets | 0.488 | 0.495 | $101.44 | +$1.44 |
| Utah vs. Kings · Kings | 0.608 | 0.495 | $81.39 | −$18.61 |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.421 | 0.285 | $67.71 | −$32.29 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Islanders vs. Sabres · Islanders | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.01 |
| Lightning vs. Hurricanes · Lightning | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.55 |
| Canucks vs. Golden Knights · Canucks | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bengals · Buccaneers | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Capitals vs. Oilers · Capitals | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.96 |
| Wild vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Wild vs. Utah · Wild | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.48 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks · Sharks | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.49 |
| Wild vs. Canadiens · Wild | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$745.88at 0.509Flyers vs. Wild
- +$665.88at 0.187Islanders vs. Blues
- +$600.00at 0.220Saints vs. Ravens
- +$571.62at 0.137Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$557.91at 0.417Flyers vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:52 | Canucks vs. Flames | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:52 | Canucks vs. Flames | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:51 | Canucks vs. Flames | BUY | 0.5834862013 | $28.75 |
| 09-22 05:50 | Canucks vs. Flames | BUY | 0.5694354059 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 05:47 | Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.621865166 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Oilers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4879775721 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Utah vs. Kings | BUY | 0.6081855968 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 05:44 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.42089437 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 23:40 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 09-21 22:36 | Blues vs. Stars | BUY | 0.6 | $99.60 |
| 09-21 22:35 | Rangers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 22:26 | Rangers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.24 | $75.84 |
| 09-21 08:28 | Wild vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.4 | $24.24 |
| 09-20 22:42 | Utah vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.4 | $124.00 |
| 09-20 20:06 | Commanders vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.35 | $140.00 |