marex021
0xeb4e09cbc1a2fc0f7b62ed520bed5714c8ba434e
- Realised P&L
- $26.64
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $13.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.55at 0.164Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$29.54at 0.156Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$22.33at 0.580Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$14.88at 0.320Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$9.03at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 23:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $6.22 |
| 11-01 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 23:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8399998992 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 23:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $6.93 |
| 11-01 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 21:50 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.64 | $1.38 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9099998059 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $3.71 |
| 11-01 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.49 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $6.42 |