PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

marex021

0xeb4e09cbc1a2fc0f7b62ed520bed5714c8ba434e

Realised P&L
$26.64
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$13.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3350.427$6.38+$1.38
Tusk out by December 31? · Yes0.0800.080$3.69+$0.00
Nawrocki out by December 31? · Yes0.0700.035$1.52−$1.48
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$1.50−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down0.2210.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$3.00
Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs0.6400.000$0.00−$1.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.1150.000$0.00−$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down on October 31? · Down0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.9200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:15Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
11-01 23:07Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSELL0.56$6.22
11-01 23:06Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.449999964$5.00
11-01 23:04Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.8399998992$3.00
11-01 23:03Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSELL0.97$6.93
11-01 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.4199999496$3.00
11-01 21:50Chiefs vs. BroncosBUY0.64$1.38
11-01 20:33Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.9099998059$3.00
11-01 20:32Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSELL0.78$3.71
11-01 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.6299999685$3.00
11-01 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.92$5.00
11-01 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.92$5.00
11-01 19:41Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSELL0.09$0.49
11-01 19:40Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.549999945$3.00
11-01 19:36Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.72$6.42