wingsterceros
0xeb4a84268d53bf8d61b5a0a45af8e24231f744c0
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $59.3k
- Markets traded
- 382
- Open portfolio
- $110.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded382
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.164Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$112.05at 0.495Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$18.53at 0.222Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
- +$16.18at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$13.53at 0.307Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:38 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.59 |
| 11-02 02:37 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 02:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 02:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 02:06 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 02:06 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 02:02 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $3.50 |
| 10-29 17:22 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.55 |
| 10-29 17:21 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 15:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | SELL | 0.56 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |