PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEb486F5F57c404fCA93451a176d93da8d713eF41-1773487349724

0xeb486f5f57c404fca93451a176d93da8d713ef41

Realised P&L
$-26.55
Volume
$196.86
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$0.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.041$0.27$0.73
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5700.025$0.21$4.79
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0490.003$0.11$2.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down0.4150.000$0.00$1.42
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Kevin Hart attend the Oscars? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Taylor Swift attend the Oscars? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$5.00
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$5.00
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-15 17:23Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?BUY0.0488664712$2.15
03-15 17:10Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
03-15 17:08Will Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
03-15 17:07Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?BUY0.5$1.00
03-15 17:07Will Taylor Swift attend the Oscars?BUY0.29999982$1.00
03-15 17:06Will Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.579999826$1.00
03-15 17:04Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
03-15 15:11Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?BUY0.0589999464$1.00
03-15 15:05Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0729999872$5.00
03-15 14:57Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.5699998906$5.00
03-15 14:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.2899998666$0.98
03-15 14:42Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
03-15 14:30Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.1772908087$5.00