PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

karmbabym26

0xeb46230b940c2d6353a38b1e00ef3710b163fa1c

Realised P&L
$310.43
Volume
$93.1k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$7.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.2800.365$7.30+$1.70
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0040.003$0.50$0.30
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0220.005$0.05$0.15
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0070.003$0.05$0.09
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$11.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$142.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 23:39Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0279999997$100.00
06-19 20:38Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.034$289.00
06-10 22:12Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.014$203.14
06-10 22:11Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$204.00
06-09 19:25Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.93$421.18
06-08 14:32Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.7099999986$321.55
05-04 16:32Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.007$0.14
04-16 17:48Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.36$288.00
04-16 17:48Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.21$22.68
04-16 14:36Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.36$241.20
04-14 14:32Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.297$17.82
04-14 14:25Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.17$9.01
04-13 14:19Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.012$1.28
04-13 14:19Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.42$27.30
04-13 03:34Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.52$30.16