karmbabym26
0xeb46230b940c2d6353a38b1e00ef3710b163fa1c
- Realised P&L
- $310.43
- Volume
- $93.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $7.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.365 | $7.30 | +$1.70 |
| Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.50 | −$0.30 |
| Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.005 | $0.05 | −$0.15 |
| Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $0.05 | −$0.09 |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.78at 0.718Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$105.47at 0.095Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$91.24at 0.140Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$81.57at 0.210Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$81.05at 0.014Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 23:39 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999997 | $100.00 |
| 06-19 20:38 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.034 | $289.00 |
| 06-10 22:12 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $203.14 |
| 06-10 22:11 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $204.00 |
| 06-09 19:25 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $421.18 |
| 06-08 14:32 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7099999986 | $321.55 |
| 05-04 16:32 | Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.14 |
| 04-16 17:48 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.36 | $288.00 |
| 04-16 17:48 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.21 | $22.68 |
| 04-16 14:36 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.36 | $241.20 |
| 04-14 14:32 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.297 | $17.82 |
| 04-14 14:25 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $9.01 |
| 04-13 14:19 | Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.28 |
| 04-13 14:19 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.42 | $27.30 |
| 04-13 03:34 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $30.16 |