promain
0xeb430182b84264a6312d97bd5aa36c35dbefe61b
- Realised P&L
- $-56.86
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $9.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.25at 0.277Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 12?
- +$185.73at 0.377Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 10?
- +$176.69at 0.133Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 9?
- +$176.52at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 10?
- +$144.77at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.11 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.3125 | $6.25 |
| 09-15 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.2891645823 | $5.78 |
| 09-15 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.57 |
| 09-15 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.4585 | $9.17 |
| 09-15 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-15 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.69 |
| 09-14 16:27 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.88 |
| 09-14 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.42576 | $8.52 |
| 09-14 07:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-13 20:09 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $25.80 |
| 09-12 03:08 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.8911971831 | $5.06 |
| 09-11 21:32 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $4.78 |
| 09-11 21:20 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $24.46 |
| 09-11 20:53 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $24.07 |