0xEB423fE9dd631a09bFFc4568bcf6ECc07cEA73dd-1776199326742
0xeb423fe9dd631a09bffc4568bcf6ecc07cea73dd
- Realised P&L
- $308.72
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $121.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.185 | $55.85 | +$6.85 |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.155 | $42.34 | −$1.79 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.485 | $17.87 | +$3.87 |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.155 | $2.71 | −$0.79 |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.135 | $2.70 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.49at 0.282Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$20.24at 0.361Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 21:06 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1699999979 | $7.30 |
| 10-09 20:24 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.52 |
| 10-09 20:23 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.16 | $27.32 |
| 10-08 04:19 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round? | BUY | 0.162314887 | $49.00 |
| 10-07 16:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $14.00 |
| 10-07 02:13 | Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-07 01:10 | Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 00:59 | Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.50 |
| 10-04 21:18 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.88 | $427.40 |
| 10-04 17:47 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999986 | $47.00 |
| 10-04 17:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.63 | $49.04 |
| 10-03 04:22 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $38.00 |
| 09-30 18:11 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2899999999 | $44.00 |
| 09-30 18:00 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.291354068 | $4.00 |
| 05-13 21:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.297 | $9.45 |