PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEb407feb44f3eC50C190B7f3CC9F91507b14174B-1787403049083

0xeb407feb44f3ec50c190b7f3cc9f91507b14174b

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$45.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 08:32Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.13$797.00
10-31 08:31Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.406$852.34
10-31 08:31Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.407$220.15
10-31 08:28Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.186$164.11
10-31 08:24Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.185$72.93
10-31 08:24Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.184$192.89
10-30 22:03Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.181$127.06
10-30 22:01Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.18$80.10
10-30 22:00Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.4090174404$469.04
10-30 21:50Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.176$38.81
10-30 21:50Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.175$74.50
10-30 21:47Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$110.26
10-30 21:452026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.23$57.50
10-30 21:40Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.181$54.30
10-30 21:38Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.182$491.40