0xEb407feb44f3eC50C190B7f3CC9F91507b14174B-1787403049083
0xeb407feb44f3ec50c190b7f3cc9f91507b14174b
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $45.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.004Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$20.00at 0.260Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- +$-7.50at 0.2602026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 08:32 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $797.00 |
| 10-31 08:31 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.406 | $852.34 |
| 10-31 08:31 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.407 | $220.15 |
| 10-31 08:28 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.186 | $164.11 |
| 10-31 08:24 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.185 | $72.93 |
| 10-31 08:24 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.184 | $192.89 |
| 10-30 22:03 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.181 | $127.06 |
| 10-30 22:01 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.18 | $80.10 |
| 10-30 22:00 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.4090174404 | $469.04 |
| 10-30 21:50 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.176 | $38.81 |
| 10-30 21:50 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.175 | $74.50 |
| 10-30 21:47 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $110.26 |
| 10-30 21:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.23 | $57.50 |
| 10-30 21:40 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.181 | $54.30 |
| 10-30 21:38 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.182 | $491.40 |