0xeb3245a947e5eec5ff218ab8ae92f0573f4a26fd
0xeb3245a947e5eec5ff218ab8ae92f0573f4a26fd
- Realised P&L
- $-4.98
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $13.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 10? · No | 0.953 | 0.986 | $3.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? · No | 0.983 | 1.000 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 9? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.978 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 9? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.875 | $2.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.290 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.645 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.35 on October 8? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner · Movistar KOI | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) · Conventus Stellarum | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.972XRP Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$0.06at 0.980XRP Up or Down on October 8?
- +$0.03at 0.989Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9529999975 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 08:31 | Will XRP dip to $1.35 on October 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 07:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 9? | BUY | 0.992999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 06:45 | Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9849999967 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 06:30 | XRP Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 06:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 06:01 | XRP Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.9685471686 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.9779999961 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 14:53 | Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:48 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:15 | Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 16:45 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |