0xEb31cF3A8D7CEE01c515f9D0Ea0CD28215AB3952-1780083976961
0xeb31cf3a8d7cee01c515f9d0ea0cd28215ab3952
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $3.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.92at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?
- +$40.25at 0.589Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?
- +$31.39at 0.565Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?
- +$21.87at 0.787Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?
- +$21.12at 0.914Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 18:43 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999954 | $1.99 |
| 09-20 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.83 |
| 09-20 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2145399518 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:40 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:48 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9729999937 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.388912656 | $4.36 |
| 09-19 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4455445236 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 02:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9099998059 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $1.04 |
| 09-14 17:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |