PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tonygr888

0xeb142160d572b5abc8e0c4422471a0ab040a7e24

Realised P&L
$-84.74
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$123.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6080.579$19.03−$0.97
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.7000.840$12.00+$2.00
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02? · No0.4950.490$9.80−$0.10
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.9000.880$8.80−$0.20
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2700.265$7.95−$0.15
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · No0.7300.715$7.15−$0.15
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2300.285$5.70+$1.10
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.4600.515$5.15+$0.55
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? · No0.4700.510$5.10+$0.40
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? · No0.4500.500$5.00+$0.50
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · No0.3900.485$4.85+$0.95
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · No0.4000.475$4.75+$0.75
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · No0.4100.460$4.60+$0.50
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? · No0.3700.415$4.15+$0.45
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02? · No0.4700.360$3.60−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:09Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 0.5SELL0.58$5.80
09-27 19:23Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 Portugal?BUY0.959$9.59
09-27 18:27Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland?BUY0.977$9.77
09-27 18:27Exact Score: Israel 3 - 2 Republic of Ireland?BUY0.979$9.79
09-27 18:26Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Greece?BUY0.987$9.87
09-27 18:25Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 0.5BUY0.92$9.20
09-27 18:24Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.68$6.80
09-27 16:44Denmark vs. Wales: Wales O/U 1.5BUY0.9399999981$10.00
09-27 16:43Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.9629999992$10.00
09-27 14:18Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan: O/U 3.5BUY0.7899999905$10.00
09-27 12:55Exact Score: Real Valladolid CF 1 - 3 Córdoba CF?BUY0.96$9.60
09-27 11:20Gangwon FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.9599999693$10.00
09-27 11:13Gangwon FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.8799999965$10.00
09-27 05:54Exact Score: Denmark 0 - 2 Wales?BUY0.987$9.87
09-27 05:52Exact Score: Austria 0 - 2 Kosovo?BUY0.979$9.79