PolyBot

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Traders

caph

0xeb12638d85e19e86d702d4ff77d8ad9b4c03d2b1

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$63.6k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$973.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No0.9771.000$249.88+$5.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · No0.9580.999$219.04+$8.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · No0.8050.862$95.85+$6.34
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No0.7230.845$69.91+$10.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · No0.8770.998$65.57+$7.94
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No0.8510.950$53.22+$5.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? · No0.8720.954$28.61+$2.47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.8100.620$24.80−$7.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No0.9981.000$19.99+$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · No0.9100.985$19.21+$1.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.8950.997$19.14+$1.95
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · No0.9240.980$18.79+$1.06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.3270.380$14.27+$1.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes0.6620.560$13.11−$2.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.1830.138$12.60−$4.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 18:19Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.4716864422$118.50
09-21 18:19Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.7774790237$200.00
06-20 15:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.28$5.13
06-20 15:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.28$20.42
06-16 12:40Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?BUY0.4399999551$4.70
06-10 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.66$12.62
06-10 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.39$7.80
06-10 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.2899999804$6.80
06-10 02:29Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.7599999982$16.60
06-10 02:29Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.76$16.22
06-10 02:29Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.4407399449$9.80
06-10 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.2799999749$5.80
06-10 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.17$3.40
06-10 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.89$17.50
06-10 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.259999974$5.40