caph
0xeb12638d85e19e86d702d4ff77d8ad9b4c03d2b1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $63.6k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $973.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.86at 0.013Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?
- +$208.42at 0.027Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
- +$181.25at 0.340Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$149.68at 0.134Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$144.58at 0.085Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4716864422 | $118.50 |
| 09-21 18:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7774790237 | $200.00 |
| 06-20 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $5.13 |
| 06-20 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $20.42 |
| 06-16 12:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | BUY | 0.4399999551 | $4.70 |
| 06-10 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $12.62 |
| 06-10 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 06-10 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999804 | $6.80 |
| 06-10 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999982 | $16.60 |
| 06-10 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $16.22 |
| 06-10 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4407399449 | $9.80 |
| 06-10 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999749 | $5.80 |
| 06-10 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-10 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $17.50 |
| 06-10 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.259999974 | $5.40 |