PolyBot

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Traders

Vesperalight

0xeb018988488a428b32a938a40c0f3b98403ed6aa

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$45.9k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$19.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6300.470$11.20−$3.80
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? · No0.6400.855$8.02+$2.02
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$4.00
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5 · Under0.4900.000$0.00−$3.3k
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 · Over0.5200.000$0.00−$79.00
Spread: Lakers (-1.5) · Bulls0.5000.000$0.00−$4.8k
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5 · Over0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6800.000$0.00−$7.00
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) · Timberwolves0.4800.000$0.00−$5.9k
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 11:01Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?BUY0.64$6.00
07-06 12:02Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5BUY0.08$2.00
07-06 12:02Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5BUY0.2$2.00
07-06 12:02Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5BUY0.6799999806$7.00
06-23 08:28Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6299999903$15.00
05-24 23:46Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5BUY0.52$79.00
03-26 12:34Heat vs. CavaliersBUY0.64$6.40
03-09 08:10Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?BUY0.98$4.00
03-09 08:10Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999881$6.00
03-09 08:09Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
03-09 08:09Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.98$3.00
03-08 15:20Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.9699999951$2.00
03-08 15:20Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?BUY0.5399999676$4.00
02-24 07:45Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?BUY0.999$9.00
02-04 13:46Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 4?BUY0.997$5.00