SorosG
0xeafeb81d601632d90b96f68778892de607d8600d
- Realised P&L
- $653.16
- Volume
- $90.0k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.905 | $3.2k | −$122.50 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.820 | $210.72 | +$23.16 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$379.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.403Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$981.04at 0.701Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$890.92at 0.740Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$789.85at 0.714Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
- +$436.42at 0.642Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:46 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $19.97 |
| 10-14 07:45 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $146.00 |
| 10-14 07:45 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 10-14 07:33 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1370058068 | $178.13 |
| 10-13 14:07 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.233 | $34.95 |
| 10-13 14:04 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.233 | $23.30 |
| 10-13 14:01 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.233 | $23.30 |
| 10-13 14:00 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.238 | $35.70 |
| 10-13 13:58 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.237 | $11.85 |
| 10-13 13:58 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 10-13 13:57 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.2388263116 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 16:01 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.404 | $18.58 |
| 10-12 15:53 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.395 | $3.92 |
| 10-12 15:53 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.395 | $3.51 |
| 10-12 15:52 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.384 | $30.72 |