PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SorosG

0xeafeb81d601632d90b96f68778892de607d8600d

Realised P&L
$653.16
Volume
$90.0k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9400.905$3.2k−$122.50
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? · Yes0.7300.820$210.72+$23.16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.3440.000$0.00−$379.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 07:46Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?BUY0.74$19.97
10-14 07:45Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?BUY0.73$146.00
10-14 07:45Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?BUY0.72$21.59
10-14 07:33Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1370058068$178.13
10-13 14:07Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.233$34.95
10-13 14:04Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.233$23.30
10-13 14:01Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.233$23.30
10-13 14:00Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.238$35.70
10-13 13:58Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.237$11.85
10-13 13:58Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.22$8.80
10-13 13:57Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.2388263116$50.00
10-12 16:01Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.404$18.58
10-12 15:53Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.395$3.92
10-12 15:53Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.395$3.51
10-12 15:52Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.384$30.72