henrydeclety
0xeafb398441014ac3c6b86d6f24b6c0cef70c7566
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $80.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.550 | $1.53 | +$0.75 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.64 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.5k |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.41 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.38 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$620.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down | 0.202 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.513Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$54.82at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$20.75at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$14.55at 0.283Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$10.59at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:29 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $5.32 |
| 08-01 23:35 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.36 | $6.78 |
| 08-01 23:33 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.5633333333 | $8.45 |
| 08-01 17:23 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.5874927954 | $12.23 |
| 08-01 17:23 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.98 |
| 08-01 17:22 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.85 |
| 08-01 17:21 | Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.914 | $5.44 |
| 07-14 20:28 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.0374999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:15 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1574999944 | $20.89 |
| 07-14 20:04 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:51 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1824999938 | $22.52 |
| 05-08 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 05-08 23:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |